In his seminal 'The Origins of Victory', Andrew Krepinevich argues that great powers win not by having the most advanced technology — but by pairing new technologies with new ways of fighting.
That lesson applies far beyond the military. Every disruptive breakthrough — from dreadnoughts to tanks to carrier aviation to AI-driven targeting — started as a conceptual leap, not just a technical one.
His three key takeaways:
1️⃣ Technology + Doctrine = Advantage
Innovation isn’t just invention — it’s reimagining how to use it.
👉 This applies to dual-use startups blending AI, autonomy, and robotics.
2️⃣ Adoption is the Bottleneck
The hardest part isn’t building the tech, it’s getting big institutions to change.
👉 The best founders understand procurement, pathways, and patience.
3️⃣ Speed is the Next Moat.
The next revolution belongs to those who can decide, learn, and deploy faster 👉 In defense and in industry.
A version of this post was first published on LinkedIn in November 2025.
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